HomePetro ProductGasoline Market Analysis: Price Trend, Capacity and Trade Data

Gasoline Market Analysis: Price Trend, Capacity and Trade Data

Gasoline (also called petrol in many countries) is a refined petroleum product consisting of a complex mixture of hydrocarbons, primarily in the C4 to C12 carbon range, with a boiling range of approximately 30°C to 215°C (86°F to 419°F). It is produced from crude oil through distillation, catalytic cracking, reforming, alkylation, and blending operations. Gasoline is the predominant fuel for spark-ignition internal combustion engines used in automobiles, motorcycles, small aircraft, and light-duty vehicles. Its key performance characteristic is the octane number, which measures resistance to autoignition (knock). Modern gasoline formulations also contain oxygenates such as ethanol or MTBE to improve combustion efficiency and reduce emissions, as well as detergent additives, antioxidants, and corrosion inhibitors. It is a highly flammable, volatile liquid and is one of the most widely consumed energy products in the world.

How About the Price?

Gasoline Market Analysis: Price Trend, Capacity and Trade Data Price History (USD/ton)
Period Price (USD/ton) Change Change Rate
2026-06 844.35 -74.91 -8.15%
2026-05 919.26 106.95 13.17%
2026-04 812.31 139.38 20.71%
2026-03 672.93 72.48 12.07%
2026-02 600.45 46.48 8.39%
2026-01 553.97 -14.77 -2.6%
2025-12 568.74 7.52 1.34%
2025-11 561.22 -23.09 -3.95%
2025-10 584.31 -27.58 -4.51%
2025-09 611.89 29.86 5.13%
2025-08 582.03 -11.91 -2.01%
2025-07 593.94 0 0%

Key Influence Events

Key Events Influencing Gasoline Market Analysis: Price Trend, Capacity and Trade Data Market
Time Factor Description Source
2025-07 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 594/ton. Panel value USD 7,313.5 million on 12,313,560 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202507&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-08 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 582/ton, -2.0% against the previous month. Panel value USD 7,497.2 million on 12,881,012 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202508&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-09 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 612/ton, +5.1% against the previous month. Panel value USD 7,656.8 million on 12,513,292 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202509&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-10 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 584/ton, -4.5% against the previous month. Panel value USD 7,305.9 million on 12,503,354 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202510&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-11 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 561/ton, -4.0% against the previous month. Panel value USD 7,787.9 million on 13,876,760 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202511&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-12 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 569/ton, +1.3% against the previous month. Panel value USD 7,637.3 million on 13,428,433 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202512&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-01 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 554/ton, -2.6% against the previous month. Panel value USD 7,322.1 million on 13,217,598 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202601&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-02 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 600/ton, +8.4% against the previous month. Panel value USD 6,822.0 million on 11,361,490 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202602&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-03 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 673/ton, +12.1% against the previous month. Panel value USD 9,742.7 million on 14,478,099 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202603&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-04 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 812/ton, +20.7% against the previous month. Panel value USD 10,056.4 million on 12,380,037 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202604&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-05 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 919/ton, +13.2% against the previous month. Panel value USD 10,277.3 million on 11,179,925 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202605&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-06 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271012 export unit value USD 844/ton, -8.1% against the previous month. Panel value USD 11,106.7 million on 13,154,128 tonnes across the fixed 11-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202606&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true

Data source: UN Comtrade monthly trade statistics (https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?period=202606&cmdCode=271012&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true) | Last updated: 2026-09-24

Price Trajectory, latest 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06)

The monthly customs export unit value for HS 271012 moved from USD 594/ton in 2025-07 to USD 844/ton in 2026-06 (+42.2% across the window). The window high was USD 919/ton in 2026-05 and the low USD 554/ton in 2026-01. Three-month averages put the latest quarter +41.0% against the previous one, which is classified here as bullish.

The same panel reported USD 100,525.9 million of export value on 153,287,688 tonnes over the twelve months, an average of 12,773,974 tonnes a month. These are customs returns for the stated HS heading, so they capture the traded mix of that heading rather than a single quoted grade.

Supply-side factors

  • Fixed reporting panel of 11 economies: BRA, CAN, CZE, DEU, HUN, MYS, NLD, POL, SWE, EGY, USA. The panel is constant in every month of the window, so month-to-month movement is not a composition effect.
  • Monthly unit value range over the window: USD 554 to USD 919/ton.
  • Latest month, 2026-06: USD 844/ton, -8.1% against the previous month, on 13,154,128 tonnes.

Demand-side factors

  • COVID-19 related lockdowns caused demand drops of 25-30% month-over-month in early 2022, suppressing gasoline consumption and pressuring prices downward.
  • Gradual recovery in gasoline demand through 2021 and stabilization by 2023 as vehicle miles traveled and economic activity normalized.
  • Rising US gasoline consumption projected through 2024-2025, contributing to inventory draws and putting upward pressure on prices despite refinery rationalization.
  • Regional demand differences with California's high-specification market requiring greater imports due to local refining constraints.
  • Adjustments to seasonal blend requirements and impacts from changing consumer driving patterns affecting demand seasonally and regionally.

Related market pages on this site: Naphtha, Crude Oil, Mixed C4, Butadiene market analysis.

Basis: these are customs unit values for the stated HS heading, not quoted spot, contract or assessed prices, and no paid price assessment is used or redistributed on this page. Every figure can be re-checked at the API links listed at the end of this page. Coverage note: HS 271012 covers light petroleum oils and preparations (gasoline, naphtha, white spirit and similar streams), so the line average blends those grades rather than quoting one product.

Top Countries Production Capacity

Average Gasoline Market Analysis: Price Trend, Capacity and Trade Data Capacity by Country/Region in 2025 (tons/year)
Rank Country / Region Average Annual Production (tons/year)
Global Total858726411
1 United States 345618000
2 China 154641000
3 India 50203000
4 Japan 30967000
5 Canada 30363000
6 Saudi Arabia 28484471
7 South Korea 21600000
8 Germany 21509000
9 Italy 16243000
10 United Kingdom 14214000
11 Mexico 13827000
12 Indonesia 10742000
13 Thailand 9789000
14 Spain 9633000
PropertyTypical Value / RangeUnitGrade / Standard
Research Octane Number (RON)91 / 95 / 98-Regular / Mid-grade / Premium
Anti-Knock Index (AKI = (RON+MON)/2)87 / 89 / 91-93-Regular / Mid-grade / Premium (US market)
Motor Octane Number (MON)82 – 90-All grades
Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP)45 – 103 (summer: 45–62; winter: up to 103)kPaSeasonal grades per ASTM D4814
Distillation – T10 (10% evaporated)≤ 70°CASTM D4814 / EN 228
Distillation – T50 (50% evaporated)77 – 121°CASTM D4814 / EN 228
Distillation – T90 (90% evaporated)≤ 190°CASTM D4814 / EN 228
Final Boiling Point (FBP)≤ 215°CASTM D4814 / EN 228
Density at 15°C720 – 775kg/m³EN 228
Sulfur Content≤ 10 (Euro 5/6); ≤ 30 (US Tier 3)mg/kg (ppm)Low-sulfur / Ultra-low-sulfur
Benzene Content≤ 1.0% volEN 228 / EPA
Aromatics Content≤ 35% volEN 228
Olefins Content≤ 18% volEN 228
Oxygen Content≤ 3.7% massEN 228
Ethanol Content (E10 blend)up to 10% volE10 grade
Ethanol Content (E85 blend)51 – 83% volE85 / Flex-fuel grade
Lead Content≤ 0.005 (effectively zero)g/LUnleaded (ULP)
Oxidation Stability (Induction Period)≥ 240minutesASTM D4814
Copper Strip CorrosionClass 1-ASTM D130
Net Heating Value (LHV)~43.4 – 44.4MJ/kgAll grades

Data Sources

Price, volume and capacity figures on this page are computed from the public sources listed below; no subscription assessment data is used or redistributed.

Who are the Top Players?

CompanyHeadquartersKey Facilities
ExxonMobilIrving, Texas, USABaytown TX, Beaumont TX, Baton Rouge LA
ShellThe Hague, NetherlandsConvent LA, Norco LA, Sarnia ON, Canada, Pernis NL
ChevronSan Ramon, California, USAPascagoula MS, El Segundo CA, Richmond CA
BPLondon, UKWhiting IN, US
TotalEnergiesParis, FranceGrandpuits FR
Marathon PetroleumFindlay, Ohio, USAGalveston Bay TX, Garyville LA, Robinson IL, Catlettsburg KY, Robinson IL
ValeroSan Antonio, Texas, USAPort Arthur TX, Wilmington CA, Benicia CA
SinopecBeijing, ChinaZhenhai CN, Jinling CN, Maoming CN, Tianjin CN, Shanghai Gaoqiao CN
Reliance IndustriesMumbai, IndiaJamnagar India
PDVSACaracas, VenezuelaParaguana Venezuela
SK EnergySeoul, South KoreaUlsan South Korea
GS CaltexSeoul, South KoreaYeosu South Korea
S-OilSeoul, South KoreaUlsan South Korea
Indian OilNew Delhi, IndiaPanipat India, Guwahati India
Our Analysis are Happy

"Global volatility doesn't have to be a risk for your business. We monitor feedstock shifts and geopolitical trends daily to help you anticipate price movements before they hit the market."

Theo James

"Data is only as good as its source. We go beyond the numbers to ensure that the product grade you select matches your specific application, reducing waste and optimizing your operational efficiency."

Emilia Munro

"Timing is everything in petrochemical procurement. Our goal is to align your purchasing cycles with market troughs, effectively lowering your cost basis and maximizing your margins."

Branden Griffiths

we’re here to all your questions

Everything you need to know about our market analysis, product quality, and procurement process.

Costs vary based on the scope. Please contact our sales team for a custom quote.

Yes, we offer flexible payment terms and volume-based pricing for corporate accounts.

Yes, every delivery includes a Certificate of Analysis (COA) and safety documentation (MSDS).

Certainly. Our technical experts are available to guide you to the ideal grade for your specific application.

Ready to speak
with a analyst?

Contact Us

We're always here to help. If you have any questions or concerns, please don't hesitate to reach out to us.


Email:

sales@pmarketresearch.com

error: Content is protected !!