HomePetro ProductMixed C4 Market Analysis: Price Trend and Olefin Demand

Mixed C4 Market Analysis: Price Trend and Olefin Demand

Mixed C4 (also called crude C4 or C4 raffinate feed) is a mixture of four-carbon hydrocarbons obtained primarily as a byproduct of steam cracking of naphtha, gas oil, or ethane/propane in ethylene plants, and also from fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) units in refineries. The mixture typically contains butadiene, isobutylene, 1-butene, 2-butene (cis and trans), n-butane, and isobutane in varying proportions depending on the feedstock and process conditions. Mixed C4 is a key petrochemical intermediate: it is processed further to extract or convert individual components such as 1,3-butadiene (for synthetic rubber), isobutylene (for MTBE, butyl rubber, and polyisobutylene), and the butene raffinate streams (for alkylation, polymerization, or fuel blending). It is handled and transported as a liquefied gas under moderate pressure.

How About the Price?

Mixed C4 Market Analysis: Price Trend and Olefin Demand Price History (USD/ton)
Period Price (USD/ton) Change Change Rate
2026-06 732.41 -86.83 -10.6%
2026-05 819.24 6.36 0.78%
2026-04 812.88 141.37 21.05%
2026-03 671.51 140.57 26.48%
2026-02 530.94 22.81 4.49%
2026-01 508.13 49.98 10.91%
2025-12 458.15 -15.26 -3.22%
2025-11 473.41 -71.53 -13.13%
2025-10 544.94 -8.61 -1.56%
2025-09 553.55 19.22 3.6%
2025-08 534.33 -18.56 -3.36%
2025-07 552.89 0 0%

Key Influence Events

Key Events Influencing Mixed C4 Market Analysis: Price Trend and Olefin Demand Market
Time Factor Description Source
2025-07 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 553/ton. Panel value USD 40.7 million on 73,531 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202507&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-08 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 534/ton, -3.4% against the previous month. Panel value USD 45.3 million on 84,742 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202508&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-09 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 554/ton, +3.6% against the previous month. Panel value USD 50.4 million on 90,986 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202509&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-10 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 545/ton, -1.6% against the previous month. Panel value USD 47.4 million on 87,060 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202510&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-11 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 473/ton, -13.1% against the previous month. Panel value USD 48.9 million on 103,255 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202511&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-12 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 458/ton, -3.2% against the previous month. Panel value USD 29.4 million on 64,136 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202512&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-01 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 508/ton, +10.9% against the previous month. Panel value USD 58.4 million on 114,887 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202601&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-02 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 531/ton, +4.5% against the previous month. Panel value USD 50.1 million on 94,382 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202602&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-03 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 672/ton, +26.5% against the previous month. Panel value USD 105.3 million on 156,876 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202603&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-04 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 813/ton, +21.1% against the previous month. Panel value USD 107.6 million on 132,358 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202604&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-05 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 819/ton, +0.8% against the previous month. Panel value USD 117.4 million on 143,323 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202605&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-06 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271114 export unit value USD 732/ton, -10.6% against the previous month. Panel value USD 64.4 million on 87,986 tonnes across the fixed 8-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578&period=202606&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true

Data source: UN Comtrade monthly trade statistics (https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?period=202606&cmdCode=271114&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true) | Last updated: 2026-09-24

Price Trajectory, latest 12 months (2025-07 to 2026-06)

The monthly customs export unit value for HS 271114 moved from USD 553/ton in 2025-07 to USD 732/ton in 2026-06 (+32.5% across the window). The window high was USD 819/ton in 2026-05 and the low USD 458/ton in 2025-12. Three-month averages put the latest quarter +38.2% against the previous one, which is classified here as bullish.

The same panel reported USD 765.3 million of export value on 1,233,522 tonnes over the twelve months, an average of 102,793 tonnes a month. These are customs returns for the stated HS heading, so they capture the traded mix of that heading rather than a single quoted grade.

Supply-side factors

  • Fixed reporting panel of 8 economies: AUS, CAN, CZE, DEU, IDN, PRT, SWE, USA. The panel is constant in every month of the window, so month-to-month movement is not a composition effect.
  • Monthly unit value range over the window: USD 458 to USD 819/ton.
  • Latest month, 2026-06: USD 732/ton, -10.6% against the previous month, on 87,986 tonnes.

Demand-side factors

  • No reported demand-side factors or influences identified in the provided influence/event log during 2020-2025.

Related market pages on this site: Butadiene, Methyl tert-butyl ether, Propane, n-Butene market analysis.

Basis: these are customs unit values for the stated HS heading, not quoted spot, contract or assessed prices, and no paid price assessment is used or redistributed on this page. Every figure can be re-checked at the API links listed at the end of this page. Coverage note: HS 271114 groups liquefied ethylene, propylene, butylene and butadiene; butanes fall under HS 271113, so a C4 refinery cut sits inside a wider group line.

Top Countries Production Capacity

No capacity data available.
Property / ComponentTypical Value / RangeUnitGrade / Stream Name
1,3-Butadiene content (steam cracker C4)40 – 55wt%Crude C4 (steam cracker)
Isobutylene content (steam cracker C4)20 – 30wt%Crude C4 (steam cracker)
1-Butene content10 – 15wt%Crude C4 (steam cracker)
2-Butene (cis + trans) content5 – 10wt%Crude C4 (steam cracker)
n-Butane content2 – 8wt%Crude C4 (steam cracker)
Isobutane content1 – 5wt%Crude C4 (steam cracker)
1,3-Butadiene content (FCC C4)1 – 5wt%FCC C4 cut
Isobutylene content (FCC C4)15 – 25wt%FCC C4 cut
Isobutane content (FCC C4)30 – 50wt%FCC C4 cut
n-Butane content (FCC C4)5 – 15wt%FCC C4 cut
C3 and lighter impurities< 2wt%Both grades
C5 and heavier impurities< 1wt%Both grades
Total sulfur< 10 – 50ppm wtBoth grades (varies by spec)
Water content< 50ppm wtBoth grades
Vapor pressure (at 37.8°C)3.5 – 5.5bar (abs)Both grades
Raffinate-1 (after butadiene extraction)Butadiene < 0.5 wt%, high isobutyleneC4 Raffinate-1
Raffinate-2 (after isobutylene removal)Mainly 1-butene, 2-butene, n-butaneC4 Raffinate-2

Data Sources

Price, volume and capacity figures on this page are computed from the public sources listed below; no subscription assessment data is used or redistributed.

Who are the Top Players?

CompanyHeadquartersKey Facilities
Dow ChemicalMidland, Michigan, USATerneuzen, Freeport TX, Plaquemine LA
BASFLudwigshafen, GermanyAntwerp, Belgium
ShellThe Hague, NetherlandsMoerdijk, Netherlands, Monaca PA, USA
SABICRiyadh, Saudi ArabiaGeleen, Netherlands
ExxonMobilIrving, Texas, USABaytown TX, Baton Rouge LA, Corpus Christi TX
LyondellBasellRotterdam, NetherlandsWesseling, Germany
INEOSLondon, United KingdomDormagen, Germany, Grangemouth, United Kingdom
Evonik IndustriesEssen, GermanyMarl, Germany, Antwerp, Belgium
SinopecBeijing, ChinaZhenhai, China, Tianjin, China, Maoming, China
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