HomePetro ProductDiesel Market Analysis: Price Trend, Trade Data and Freight Demand

Diesel Market Analysis: Price Trend, Trade Data and Freight Demand

Diesel fuel (also called diesel oil or gas oil) is a petroleum-derived liquid fuel composed primarily of hydrocarbons in the C10–C22 carbon number range, obtained mainly by the fractional distillation of crude oil in the atmospheric distillation unit, typically boiling between approximately 150°C and 380°C. It is used as the primary fuel for compression-ignition (diesel) engines, which ignite the fuel through the heat generated by compressing air rather than by a spark. Diesel fuel is characterized by its cetane number (a measure of ignition quality), energy density, viscosity, sulfur content, and cold-flow properties. It is widely used in road transport (trucks, buses, cars), rail, marine, agricultural, construction, and stationary power generation applications. Modern diesel fuels are increasingly ultra-low sulfur grades (ULSD) to meet stringent environmental regulations, and may contain biodiesel blends (FAME) as a renewable component.

How About the Price?

Diesel Market Analysis: Price Trend, Trade Data and Freight Demand Price History (USD/ton)
Period Price (USD/ton) Change Change Rate
2026-07 889.75 -201.9 -18.49%
2026-06 1091.65 -119.26 -9.85%
2026-05 1210.91 23.09 1.94%
2026-04 1187.82 184.88 18.43%
2026-03 1002.94 200.63 25.01%
2026-02 802.31 46.66 6.17%
2026-01 755.65 -2.94 -0.39%
2025-12 758.59 -20.82 -2.67%
2025-11 779.41 129.31 19.89%
2025-10 650.1 -9.7 -1.47%
2025-09 659.8 11.23 1.73%
2025-08 648.57 0 0%

Key Influence Events

Key Events Influencing Diesel Market Analysis: Price Trend, Trade Data and Freight Demand Market
Time Factor Description Source
2025-08 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 649/ton. Aggregate panel value USD 16,471.1 million on 25,396,052 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202508&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-09 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 660/ton, +1.7% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 17,282.2 million on 26,193,263 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202509&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-10 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 650/ton, -1.5% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 15,704.5 million on 24,157,135 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202510&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-11 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 779/ton, +19.9% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 16,013.8 million on 20,546,021 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202511&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2025-12 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 759/ton, -2.7% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 17,029.8 million on 22,449,282 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202512&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-01 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 756/ton, -0.4% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 15,803.4 million on 20,913,633 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202601&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-02 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 802/ton, +6.2% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 14,764.1 million on 18,401,987 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202602&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-03 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 1,003/ton, +25.0% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 22,258.1 million on 22,192,864 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202603&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-04 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 1,188/ton, +18.4% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 31,256.0 million on 26,313,654 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202604&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-05 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 1,211/ton, +1.9% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 29,257.7 million on 24,161,822 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202605&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-06 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 1,092/ton, -9.8% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 23,268.6 million on 21,314,998 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202606&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true
2026-07 Trade price Monthly customs data: HS 271019 export unit value USD 890/ton, -18.5% against the previous month. Aggregate panel value USD 25,580.8 million on 28,750,431 tonnes across the fixed 14-economy panel. https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202607&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true

Data source: UN Comtrade public trade statistics (https://comtradeapi.un.org/public/v1/preview/C/M/HS?reporterCode=156,842,699,410,276,528,356,360,764,458,724,40,56,251,380,616,826,124,76,484,792,682,784,704,490,702,643,36,710,818,364,203,348,300,620,372,208,246,752,578,320,508&period=202607&cmdCode=271019&partnerCode=0&flowCode=X&includeDesc=true) | Last updated: 2026-11-07

Price Trajectory, latest 12 months (2025-08 to 2026-07)

The monthly customs export unit value for HS 271019 moved from USD 648.57/ton in 2025-08 to USD 889.75/ton in 2026-07 (+37.2% across the window). The window high was USD 1,210.91/ton in 2026-05 and the low USD 648.57/ton in 2025-08. Three-month averages put the latest quarter +6.7% against the previous one, which is read here as neutral.

The same panel reported USD 244,690.1 million of export value on 280,791,141 tonnes over the twelve months, an average of 23,399,262 tonnes a month. Values are customs returns for the stated HS heading, so they capture the traded mix of that heading rather than a single quoted grade.

2026-08 is deliberately not in the series: of the 14 economies that make up this page's fixed panel, 11 had filed both value and net weight for this heading when the page was re-checked on 2026-11-07 (the heading drew 18 filers in total that month); neither 2026-09 nor 2026-10 drew a single filing for this heading. Splicing a partly-filed month onto a fixed panel would move the unit value through composition alone, so the window stays at 2026-07 until the whole panel for 2026-08 has reported.

HS 271019 is the heading for other (non-light) petroleum oils, so it carries diesel and gas oil together with kerosene, fuel oil and other heavy preparations; the unit value is a heading-level figure rather than a diesel-only quote.

Supply-side factors

  • Fixed reporting panel of 14 economies: BRA (76), CZE (203), DNK (208), DEU (276), GTM (320), HUN (348), IRL (372), MYS (458), MEX (484), NLD (528), PRT (620), IND (699), SWE (752), USA (842). The panel is held constant in every month of the window so month-to-month movement is not a composition effect.
  • Monthly unit value range over the window: USD 648.57 to USD 1,210.91/ton.
  • Latest month, 2026-07: USD 889.75/ton, -18.5% against the previous month, on 28,750,431 tonnes.

Demand-side factors

  • Diesel demand comes from road freight, agriculture, mining and marine gas oil, with a heating-oil overlay in the northern-hemisphere winter.
  • Related market pages on this site: Crude Oil, Gasoline and Kerosene.

Basis: these are customs unit values for the stated HS heading, not quoted spot, contract or assessed prices, and no paid price assessment is used or redistributed on this page. Every figure can be re-checked at the API links listed at the end of this page.

Top Countries Production Capacity

No capacity data available.
PropertyTypical Value / RangeUnitGrade / Standard Reference
1-D (ASTM D975)Lighter, lower viscosity; cold-weather use–ASTM D975 Grade 1-D S15/S500
2-D (ASTM D975)Standard road diesel; most common grade–ASTM D975 Grade 2-D S15/S500
4-D (ASTM D975)Heavy-duty, low-speed engines; high viscosity–ASTM D975 Grade 4-D
EN 590 Class A–FEuropean grades differentiated by CFPP for climate zones–EN 590 (Europe)
Premium DieselEnhanced cetane, detergent additives, improved cold flow–Various proprietary (Shell V-Power Diesel, BP Ultimate, etc.)

Data Sources

Price and volume figures are derived from the directly verified public sources below. The customs unit values are USD/ton; they are not subscription price assessments. Grade-level specifications are not restated here: confirm them with the supplier. Every monthly endpoint used for the series on this page is listed below, together with the HS classification reference.

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